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Svetkavitsa vs Kaliakra

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2017/2018
Svetkavitsa Logo

Svetkavitsa

1 - 0
FT
Kaliakra Logo

Kaliakra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa in this Third League - North-East 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Svetkavitsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Kaliakra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kaliakra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Kaliakra have won more games recently than Svetkavitsa.
  • Model gives Kaliakra a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Kaliakra
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 29 18
Goals Scored 0.51 1.47
Goals Conceded 3.11 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2019 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Svetkavitsa
1:2
Nov 10, 2018 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Kaliakra
2:1
Jun 3, 2018 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Kaliakra
1:0
Nov 4, 2017 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Kaliakra
1:1
Aug 19, 2017 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Svetkavitsa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Kaliakra 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Kaliakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaliakra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaliakra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Kaliakra has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Svetkavitsa scored in 27% of their last 37 games.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
5.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 8

Kaliakra

(Away)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 30 28 2 0 101:10 86
2 Suvorovo 30 20 4 6 81:21 64
3 Lokomotiv Ruse 30 15 6 9 49:31 51
4 Hitrino 30 14 9 7 43:36 51
5 Septemvri Tervel 30 14 4 12 48:49 46
6 Svetkavitsa 30 12 6 12 44:26 42
7 Kaliakra 30 12 6 12 40:43 42
8 Spartak Varna 30 10 6 14 43:61 36
9 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 3 21 25:78 21
10 Kubrat 30 4 5 21 22:61 17
11 Benkovski Byala 30 3 3 24 20:100 12
Promotion - Vtora liga 2018/2019 (Main)