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Svetkavitsa vs Provadia

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2013/2014 game between Svetkavitsa and Provadia finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svetkavitsa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Provadia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Provadia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Provadia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Svetkavitsa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Svetkavitsa here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Provadia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Provadia
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 2 4
Draws 1 1
Losses 29 25
Goals Scored 0.47 1
Goals Conceded 3.47 3.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Svetkavitsa
1:5
Aug 24, 2014 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Provadia
4:0
Apr 13, 2014 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Provadia
5:0
Sep 29, 2013 Third League - North-East
Provadia vs Svetkavitsa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 34 / 100
Provadia 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Provadia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Provadia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Provadia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Svetkavitsa found the back of the net in 19% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
5.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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Provadia

(Away)
23 May
Provadia
1 : 6
Chernomorets Balchik
20 May
Belitsa
4 : 0
Provadia
17 May
Provadia
2 : 1
Dve Mogili
10 May
Shumen 1929
3 : 1
Provadia
06 May
Kubrat
8 : 0
Provadia
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