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Svetkavitsa vs Shumen 2007

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
Sat, Nov 11, 2023
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa host Shumen 2007 in the Third League - North-East 2023/2024. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Svetkavitsa have averaged 0.32 scored and 3.55 conceded recently, against Shumen 2007's 0.8 scored and 2.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Svetkavitsa have won 3 to Shumen 2007's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Nov 11, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (0.67 xG vs 3.06) point toward Shumen 2007. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Shumen 2007
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Shumen 2007

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Shumen 2007 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Shumen 2007 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Shumen 2007 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Shumen 2007
Matches Played 31 15
Wins 1 3
Draws 1 1
Losses 29 11
Goals Scored 0.32 0.8
Goals Conceded 3.55 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 11, 2023 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Shumen 2007
0:0
Apr 8, 2023 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Shumen 2007
4:0
Oct 8, 2022 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Svetkavitsa
0:1
Apr 2, 2022 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Svetkavitsa
2:2
Sep 25, 2021 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Shumen 2007
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Shumen 2007 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Shumen 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shumen 2007 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shumen 2007's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Svetkavitsa found the back of the net in 16% of recent matches (31 games).

Away concern: Shumen 2007 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS -
0.13 Goals Scored 0
5.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 7

Shumen 2007

(Away)
03 Jun
Chernolomets
8 : 0
Shumen 2007
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
14 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 1
Shumen 2007
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0
Dorostol
30 Apr
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1
Shumen 2007
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)