Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Svoge vs Botev Ihtiman

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Nachev D.

AI Match Summary

Svoge in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Svoge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Svoge
40%
Draws
29%
Botev Ihtiman
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Botev Ihtiman at 1.38 per game, Svoge at 1.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Svoge Clean Sheet 16%
Botev Ihtiman Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Botev Ihtiman
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Svoge vs Botev Ihtiman
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Svoge vs Botev Ihtiman
5:3
May 30, 2020 Third League - South-West
Svoge vs Botev Ihtiman
0:0
Nov 30, 2019 Third League - South-West
Botev Ihtiman vs Svoge
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svoge Compare

Top Goalscorer Nachev D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Botev Ihtiman Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 31 / 100
Botev Ihtiman 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Botev Ihtiman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botev Ihtiman conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Svoge remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Svoge scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Botev Ihtiman
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
11 Jul
Svoge
0 : 2
Vihren
27 Jun
CSKA Sofia II
2 : 1
Svoge
23 May
Svoge
1 : 0
Hebar
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Botev Ihtiman

(Away)
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
30 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 0
Bistritsa
23 May
Rilski Sportist
1 : 2
Botev Ihtiman
16 May
Botev Ihtiman
3 : 3
Balkan Botevgrad
09 May
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Botev Ihtiman
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