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Svoge vs Montana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nhaga K.
17' Event
Vasilev V.
46'
Sub
Kingsley M. In: Avramov D.
Out: Kingsley M.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Svoge and Montana finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Svoge
15%
Draws
36%
Montana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svoge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Svoge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Svoge are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Svoge Clean Sheet 68%
Montana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Montana
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.74 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Montana
2:2
Mar 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Montana
0:3
Sep 1, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Svoge
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Svoge
2:0
Sep 3, 2023 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Montana
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svoge Compare

Top Goalscorer Nhaga K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fofana A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Montana Compare

Top Goalscorer Vasilev V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karakashev G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 95 / 100
Montana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Montana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svoge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montana has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Montana registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Svoge found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Montana
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
25% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
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Montana

(Away)
04 Oct
Bdin Vidin
0 : 2
Montana
27 Sept
Chernomorets 1919
2 : 0
Montana
21 Sept
Montana
0 : 5
Hebar
13 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
4 : 0
Montana
08 Sept
Montana
1 : 4
Vihren
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)