Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Svoge vs Montana

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
Sat, Jul 25, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Svoge host Montana in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Svoge at 0.63 goals for, 1 against; Montana at 0.88 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Svoge have won 0 to Montana's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 16, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.00 - 0.94) back Svoge to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Svoge
11%
Draws
9%
Montana
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Svoge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Svoge carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Svoge are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Svoge Clean Sheet 20%
Montana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Montana
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2025 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Montana
0:3
Sep 1, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Svoge
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Vtora liga
Montana vs Svoge
2:0
Sep 3, 2023 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Montana
1:1
Feb 24, 2023 Vtora liga
Montana vs Svoge
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 76 / 100
Montana 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Montana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montana has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Svoge has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Montana has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Montana
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
15 Jul
Svoge
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
11 Jul
Svoge
0 : 2
Vihren
27 Jun
CSKA Sofia II
2 : 1
Svoge
23 May
Svoge
1 : 0
Hebar
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Montana

(Away)
18 Jul
Montana
3 : 1
Spartak Pleven
11 Jul
Slavia Sofia
7 : 2
Montana
01 Jul
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 1
Montana
22 May
Slavia Sofia
2 : 0
Montana
18 May
Montana
0 : 2
Spartak Varna
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beroe00000:00
2Pirin Blagoevgrad00000:00
3Marek00000:00
4Vihren00000:00
5Nesebar00000:00
6Etar00000:00
7Montana00000:00
8Rilski Sportist00000:00
9Spartak Pleven00000:00
10Svoge00000:00
11Yantra Gabrovo00000:00
12Dobrudzha00000:00
13Hebar00000:00
14Gorna00000:00
15CSKA Sofia II00000:00
16Ludogorets II00000:00
17Chernomorets 191900000:00
18Fratria00000:00
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)