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Stadium Background

Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Vtora liga Stadion Chavdar Tsvetkov, Svoge
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Ivanov I.
46'
Sub
Ivanov I. In: Rodopski R.
Out: Ivanov I.
46'
Sub
Petsev K. In: Banev K.
Out: Petsev K.

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga game between Svoge and Pirin Blagoevgrad finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Svoge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Svoge
15%
Draws
36%
Pirin Blagoevgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Svoge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Pirin Blagoevgrad haven't matched Svoge's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Svoge's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Svoge Clean Sheet 68%
Pirin Blagoevgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svoge Pirin Blagoevgrad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 4
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 0.71 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.29 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
1:0
May 11, 2026 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
2:0
Nov 8, 2025 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Svoge
0:0
Dec 4, 2024 Vtora liga
Pirin Blagoevgrad vs Svoge
1:0
Jul 20, 2024 Vtora liga
Svoge vs Pirin Blagoevgrad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svoge Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikayla F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Pirin Blagoevgrad Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svoge 50 / 100
Pirin Blagoevgrad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svoge Pirin Blagoevgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Svoge Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirin Blagoevgrad has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Pirin Blagoevgrad registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Svoge's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Svoge VS Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Svoge

(Home)
04 Oct
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 1
Svoge
27 Sept
CSKA Sofia II
1 : 0
Svoge
21 Sept
Svoge
3 : 2
Vihren
13 Sept
Beroe
1 : 0
Svoge
07 Sept
Svoge
0 : 0
Gorna
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Pirin Blagoevgrad

(Away)
04 Oct
Lokomotiv Mezdra
2 : 3
Pirin Blagoevgrad
26 Sept
Rilski Sportist
1 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
20 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
1 : 2
Fratria
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
07 Sept
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0 : 3
Ludogorets II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vihren 12 7 3 2 25:12 24
2 CSKA Sofia II 11 7 2 2 23:9 23
3 Fratria 12 6 4 2 17:10 22
4 Chernomorets 1919 11 6 3 2 18:8 21
5 Yantra Gabrovo 12 6 1 5 13:11 19
6 Beroe 11 5 3 3 16:12 18
7 Rilski Sportist 11 5 3 3 14:10 18
8 Etar 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Nesebar 11 5 2 4 20:17 17
10 Gorna 11 4 4 3 9:10 16
11 Hebar 11 4 2 5 24:19 14
12 Marek 11 4 2 5 11:12 14
13 Spartak Pleven 11 4 1 6 11:22 13
14 Ludogorets II 10 3 3 4 9:10 12
15 Montana 11 3 2 6 13:23 11
16 Svoge 11 2 4 5 7:10 10
17 Dobrudzha 11 2 3 6 12:18 9
18 Pirin Blagoevgrad 11 0 0 11 4:33 0
Promotion - efbet League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - efbet League (Relegation)
Relegation - Vtora liga (Relegation)