Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SVZW Wierden vs USV Hercules - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SVZW Wierden host USV Hercules in the Derde Divisie. USV Hercules are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: SVZW Wierden at 1.32 goals for, 3.32 against; USV Hercules at 1.77 for, 1.65 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.31, favoring USV Hercules. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SVZW Wierden
15%
Draws
85%
USV Hercules
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USV Hercules come out ahead of SVZW Wierden on wins alone.
  • USV Hercules are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SVZW Wierden Clean Sheet 10%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SVZW Wierden USV Hercules
Matches Played 19 31
Wins 1 13
Draws 1 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.77
Goals Conceded 3.32 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SVZW Wierden 10 / 100
USV Hercules 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SVZW Wierden USV Hercules

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SVZW Wierden scored in 63% of their last 19 games.

USV Hercules has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

USV Hercules lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SVZW Wierden VS USV Hercules
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
3.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SVZW Wierden

(Home)
24 Oct
DVS '33 Ermelo
4 : 3
SVZW Wierden
17 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 1
HVV Hollandia
10 Oct
TEC
1 : 0
SVZW Wierden
03 Oct
SVZW Wierden
0 : 2
Sparta Nijkerk
26 Sept
ACV Assen
4 : 0
SVZW Wierden
Page 1 of 4

USV Hercules

(Away)
24 Oct
USV Hercules
4 : 1
Staphorst
17 Oct
Eemdijk
2 : 0
USV Hercules
10 Oct
USV Hercules
0 : 0
Sportlust
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0
DVS '33 Ermelo
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3
USV Hercules
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harkemase Boys 11 8 2 1 24:14 26
2 ACV Assen 11 7 3 1 27:11 24
3 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
4 Excelsior 31 11 7 1 3 28:13 22
5 Genemuiden 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 11 5 2 4 24:21 17
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 11 4 2 5 21:23 14
11 VV Hoogeveen 11 4 1 6 24:25 13
12 USV Hercules 11 4 1 6 16:23 13
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 11 2 3 6 17:22 9
15 Staphorst 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
16 VV DOVO 11 1 3 7 13:26 6
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 11 0 1 10 12:32 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 11 9 1 1 25:4 28
2 Lisse 11 9 1 1 26:8 28
3 Excelsior Maassluis 11 8 2 1 22:7 26
4 Rijnvogels 11 7 2 2 29:13 23
5 RKSV UDI 19 11 6 2 3 22:12 20
6 VV Zwaluwen 11 6 1 4 15:16 19
7 SV Poortugaal 11 6 0 5 15:16 18
8 Dongen 11 5 1 5 24:25 16
9 GOES 11 4 2 5 21:28 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 TOGB 11 3 3 5 19:25 12
13 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 11 2 2 7 15:25 8
17 Achilles Veen 11 2 0 9 9:26 6
18 EVV 11 0 3 8 11:24 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)