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Stadium Background

SW Bregenz vs Sturm II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

2. Liga ImmoAgentur Stadion, Bregenz
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Sealey L.
Assist: Zaizen A.
23'
Henrique Cayres
24' Event
Lang N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga game between SW Bregenz and Sturm II finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SW Bregenz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
SW Bregenz
20%
Draws
36%
Sturm II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SW Bregenz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • SW Bregenz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SW Bregenz's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SW Bregenz Clean Sheet 15%
Sturm II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Bregenz Sturm II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.82 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Sturm II
3:1
Apr 6, 2026 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Sturm II
1:3
Oct 4, 2025 2. Liga
Sturm II vs SW Bregenz
3:1
Dec 7, 2024 2. Liga
SW Bregenz vs Sturm II
3:2
Aug 3, 2024 2. Liga
Sturm II vs SW Bregenz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SW Bregenz Compare

Top Goalscorer Sealey L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rossi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Sturm II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Bregenz 48 / 100
Sturm II 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Bregenz Sturm II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SW Bregenz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sturm II let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

SW Bregenz found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: SW Bregenz remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SW Bregenz VS Sturm II
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Bregenz

(Home)
24 Sept
A. Lustenau
3 : 1
SW Bregenz
19 Sept
St. Polten
2 : 1
SW Bregenz
12 Sept
SW Bregenz
4 : 0
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
04 Sept
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
0 : 1
SW Bregenz
29 Aug
Austria Vienna (Am)
2 : 0
SW Bregenz
Page 1 of 6

Sturm II

(Away)
19 Sept
Sturm II
2 : 2
Wacker Innsbruck
12 Sept
A. Salzburg
3 : 3
Sturm II
30 Aug
Sturm II
5 : 2
Rapid Vienna II
22 Aug
SW Bregenz
3 : 1
Sturm II
15 Aug
Sturm II
0 : 2
Admira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 8 6 1 1 21:5 19
2 First Vienna 8 6 1 1 17:8 19
3 Austria Vienna (Am) 8 5 0 3 14:11 15
4 Amstetten 8 3 4 1 15:12 13
5 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 7 4 1 2 13:10 13
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
7 A. Salzburg 7 3 1 3 14:12 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 14:15 10
9 SW Bregenz 7 3 1 3 11:12 10
10 Admira 7 3 0 4 7:8 9
11 ASK Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 10:12 9
12 St. Polten 8 3 0 5 7:9 9
13 Sturm II 7 2 2 3 15:18 8
14 Rapid Vienna II 7 2 0 5 7:17 6
15 Hogo Hertha Wels 7 1 1 5 8:17 4
16 Kapfenberg 8 1 0 7 9:18 3
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)