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Stadium Background

SW Essen vs Duisburg II

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2015/2016 game between SW Essen and Duisburg II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SW Essen
6%
Draws
90%
Duisburg II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Duisburg II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SW Essen come out ahead of Duisburg II on wins alone.
  • Model gives Duisburg II a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 19%
Duisburg II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Duisburg II
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Duisburg II
1:0
Oct 18, 2015 Oberliga Niederrhein
Duisburg II vs SW Essen
1:2
Apr 12, 2015 Oberliga Niederrhein
Duisburg II vs SW Essen
1:1
Oct 5, 2014 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Duisburg II
0:1
Dec 15, 2013 Oberliga Niederrhein
Duisburg II vs SW Essen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 10 / 100
Duisburg II 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Duisburg II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SW Essen scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Duisburg II let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Duisburg II lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
11 Jul
RW Essen
5 : 1
SW Essen
07 Jun
SW Essen
3 : 4
Meerbusch
31 May
Kleve
4 : 3
SW Essen
17 May
SW Essen
0 : 4
Schonnebeck
10 May
Dingden
3 : 0
SW Essen
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Duisburg II

(Away)
05 Jun
Kalkum-Wittlaer
0 : 2
Duisburg II
29 May
Duisburg II
1 : 1
Krefeld-Fischeln
22 May
Kapellen-Erft
1 : 4
Duisburg II
08 May
Duisburg II
1 : 1
Wuppertaler
30 Apr
SW Essen
1 : 0
Duisburg II
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wuppertaler34235669:2574
2Uerdingen34188859:3862
3Jahn Hiesfeld341771070:4858
4TuRU Dusseldorf3414101046:4052
5Schonnebeck3413111052:4850
6Krefeld-Fischeln3413101166:6449
7Kapellen-Erft3412121055:5148
8Meerbusch3412121054:5848
9Dusseldorf-West341381343:5047
10Honnepel-Niedermormter3412101256:4846
11Germania Ratingen341015947:4645
12Bocholt341361552:5245
13Duisburg II3411101350:4243
14Hilden341181548:5841
15SW Essen341171651:6240
161.FC Monchengladbach34891741:6733
17Oberhausen II34871943:7231
18Kalkum-Wittlaer34592036:6924
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2016/2017 (Main)