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SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 game between SW Essen and Germania Ratingen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germania Ratingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SW Essen
35%
Draws
32%
Germania Ratingen
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Germania Ratingen come out ahead of SW Essen on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 12%
Germania Ratingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Germania Ratingen
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 13
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.61 2.11
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen
2:0
Apr 25, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Germania Ratingen vs SW Essen
1:2
Nov 3, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen
4:2
Mar 28, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Germania Ratingen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 30 / 100
Germania Ratingen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Germania Ratingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germania Ratingen let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

SW Essen scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

SW Essen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS Germania Ratingen
1 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4
SSVg Velbert
14 Aug
Scherpenberg
5 : 3
SW Essen
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Germania Ratingen

(Away)
11 Sept
Holzheim
3 : 3
Germania Ratingen
04 Sept
Germania Ratingen
1 : 1
SC St.Tonis
28 Aug
Dingden
0 : 0
Germania Ratingen
21 Aug
Germania Ratingen
3 : 3
Buderich
16 Aug
Schonnebeck
2 : 2
Germania Ratingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)