Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SW Essen vs Hamborn

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

62'
Wichert D.
69' Event
Cisse M.
73' Event
Bosnjak N.

AI Match Summary

SW Essen in this Oberliga Niederrhein 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
SW Essen
20%
Draws
44%
Hamborn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamborn

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • SW Essen have won more games recently than Hamborn.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on SW Essen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 19%
Hamborn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Hamborn
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Hamborn
3:1
Nov 12, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs SW Essen
0:4
Feb 4, 2023 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Hamborn
1:2
Aug 11, 2022 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs SW Essen
1:2
May 9, 2013 Oberliga Niederrhein
Hamborn vs SW Essen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SW Essen Compare

Top Goalscorer Cisse M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bosnjak N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Hamborn Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuhrmann R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 36 / 100
Hamborn 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Hamborn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Essen's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hamborn conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

SW Essen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4
SSVg Velbert
14 Aug
Scherpenberg
5 : 3
SW Essen
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Hamborn

(Away)
04 Aug
Hamborn
7 : 0
SC St.Tonis
02 Jun
Schonnebeck
4 : 1
Hamborn
26 May
Hamborn
3 : 1
Germania Ratingen
12 May
Mulheimer FC 97
4 : 3
Hamborn
08 May
Frintrop
4 : 0
Hamborn
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Baumberg 32 21 4 7 74:33 67
2 Schonnebeck 32 18 6 8 71:46 60
3 Uerdingen 32 18 4 10 56:40 58
4 SW Essen 32 16 5 11 60:44 53
5 Homberg 32 16 4 12 52:42 52
6 Hilden 32 15 7 10 57:49 52
7 Germania Ratingen 32 15 6 11 55:48 51
8 Sonsbeck 32 13 5 14 50:48 44
9 Buderich 32 13 3 16 52:51 42
10 SC St.Tonis 32 12 5 15 56:59 41
11 Union Nettetal 32 11 7 14 47:62 40
12 Mulheimer FC 97 32 10 6 16 51:61 36
13 Kleve 32 9 8 15 33:56 35
14 Meerbusch 32 9 7 16 52:62 34
15 TVD Velbert 32 7 13 12 50:65 34
16 Frintrop 32 8 9 15 42:59 33
17 Hamborn 32 6 11 15 36:69 29
18 Straelen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2024/2025 (Main)