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SW Essen vs Holzheim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
SW Essen Logo

SW Essen

4 - 1
FT
Holzheim Logo

Holzheim

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 game between SW Essen and Holzheim finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SW Essen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SW Essen
30%
Draws
31%
Holzheim
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Holzheim haven't matched SW Essen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SW Essen a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%
Holzheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Holzheim
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.46 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.14 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Holzheim
4:1
Oct 12, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Holzheim vs SW Essen
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 83 / 100
Holzheim 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Holzheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SW Essen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Holzheim conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

SW Essen scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

SW Essen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS Holzheim
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
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Holzheim

(Away)
04 Oct
Buderich
2 : 3
Holzheim
25 Sept
Holzheim
0 : 3
Schonnebeck
19 Sept
Wuppertaler
4 : 0
Holzheim
11 Sept
Holzheim
3 : 3
Germania Ratingen
06 Sept
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Holzheim
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
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