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SW Essen vs Juchen-Garzweiler - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein game between SW Essen and Juchen-Garzweiler finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Juchen-Garzweiler.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
SW Essen
30%
Draws
58%
Juchen-Garzweiler
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Juchen-Garzweiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Juchen-Garzweiler carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Juchen-Garzweiler's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Juchen-Garzweiler here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 20%
Juchen-Garzweiler Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Juchen-Garzweiler
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Juchen-Garzweiler
1:3
Feb 1, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Juchen-Garzweiler vs SW Essen
3:1
Aug 17, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Juchen-Garzweiler
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 10 / 100
Juchen-Garzweiler 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Juchen-Garzweiler

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juchen-Garzweiler Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Essen scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Juchen-Garzweiler has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

SW Essen went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS Juchen-Garzweiler
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
10 Oct
SW Essen
0 : 3
Germania Ratingen
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
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Juchen-Garzweiler

(Away)
02 Oct
Juchen-Garzweiler
3 : 2
Sonsbeck
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
3 : 1
Scherpenberg
13 Sept
Baumberg
4 : 4
Juchen-Garzweiler
09 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 3
SC St.Tonis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 8 7 1 0 31:10 22
2 SSVg Velbert 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Dusseldorf II 9 5 2 2 20:10 17
4 Solingen-Wald 9 5 0 4 19:22 15
5 SC St.Tonis 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
6 Germania Ratingen 9 3 5 1 17:14 14
7 Baumberg 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
8 Uerdingen 9 4 1 4 21:12 13
9 Sonsbeck 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
10 Juchen-Garzweiler 8 4 1 3 18:18 13
11 Dingden 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
12 FC Monheim 8 2 3 3 15:13 9
13 Scherpenberg 8 2 2 4 11:18 8
14 Wuppertaler 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
15 SW Essen 9 1 3 5 11:21 6
16 Buderich 9 1 3 5 12:26 6
17 Holzheim 8 1 1 6 10:28 4
18 Meerbusch 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)