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SW Essen vs SC St.Tonis Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein 2025/2026 game between SW Essen and SC St.Tonis finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC St.Tonis.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SW Essen
20%
Draws
51%
SC St.Tonis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SC St.Tonis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SC St.Tonis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • SC St.Tonis are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%
SC St.Tonis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen SC St.Tonis
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.45 2
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs SC St.Tonis
1:4
Sep 28, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs SW Essen
4:2
May 4, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs SC St.Tonis
3:2
Nov 10, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SC St.Tonis vs SW Essen
2:2
May 12, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs SC St.Tonis
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 22 / 100
SC St.Tonis 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen SC St.Tonis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC St.Tonis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

SW Essen's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

SC St.Tonis let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: SW Essen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS SC St.Tonis
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
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SC St.Tonis

(Away)
02 Oct
Dingden
1 : 0
SC St.Tonis
27 Sept
SC St.Tonis
4 : 0
Buderich
18 Sept
Schonnebeck
3 : 1
SC St.Tonis
13 Sept
SC St.Tonis
2 : 1
Wuppertaler
09 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
1 : 3
SC St.Tonis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hilden 34 22 3 9 90:48 69
2 Germania Ratingen 34 19 10 5 86:48 67
3 Uerdingen 34 19 6 9 58:43 63
4 Schonnebeck 34 17 10 7 81:47 61
5 SC St.Tonis 34 16 7 11 80:55 55
6 Meerbusch 34 15 5 14 49:60 50
7 Dingden 34 12 9 13 45:48 45
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 34 11 11 12 47:42 44
9 Baumberg 34 12 8 14 58:66 44
10 SW Essen 34 13 5 16 53:62 44
11 FC Monheim 34 12 7 15 48:56 43
12 Sonsbeck 34 12 6 16 47:59 42
13 Buderich 34 12 6 16 62:77 42
14 Frintrop 34 12 5 17 57:57 41
15 Holzheim 34 10 11 13 49:62 41
16 Kleve 34 11 8 15 43:62 41
17 Homberg 34 10 6 18 51:61 36
18 SV Biemenhorst 34 8 3 23 55:106 27
Promotion - Regionalliga West (Main)