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SW Essen vs Sonsbeck

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen Logo

SW Essen

1 - 1
FT
Sonsbeck Logo

Sonsbeck

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niederrhein game between SW Essen and Sonsbeck finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SW Essen
35%
Draws
42%
Sonsbeck
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sonsbeck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Sonsbeck have managed 1.41 goals a game lately — SW Essen are scoring more at 1.61.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Sonsbeck taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • SW Essen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%
Sonsbeck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SW Essen Sonsbeck
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Sonsbeck
1:1
Feb 22, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Sonsbeck vs SW Essen
0:1
Aug 29, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Sonsbeck
2:1
Mar 30, 2025 Oberliga Niederrhein
Sonsbeck vs SW Essen
2:3
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Niederrhein
SW Essen vs Sonsbeck
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SW Essen 14 / 100
Sonsbeck 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SW Essen Sonsbeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sonsbeck Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Essen found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Sonsbeck let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: SW Essen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SW Essen VS Sonsbeck
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SW Essen

(Home)
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
22 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 4
SSVg Velbert
14 Aug
Scherpenberg
5 : 3
SW Essen
Page 1 of 6

Sonsbeck

(Away)
19 Sept
Uerdingen
0 : 1
Sonsbeck
13 Sept
Sonsbeck
0 : 0
Meerbusch
06 Sept
Sonsbeck
4 : 2
SSVg Velbert
30 Aug
SW Essen
1 : 1
Sonsbeck
23 Aug
Sonsbeck
1 : 1
Scherpenberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 6 5 1 0 25:8 16
2 Baumberg 6 4 2 0 17:10 14
3 Dusseldorf II 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
4 SC St.Tonis 6 3 2 1 13:11 11
5 Uerdingen 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
6 Sonsbeck 6 2 4 0 8:5 10
7 SSVg Velbert 5 3 0 2 12:11 9
8 FC Monheim 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
9 Dingden 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Solingen-Wald 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
11 Germania Ratingen 5 0 5 0 9:9 5
12 Scherpenberg 5 1 2 2 8:12 5
13 SW Essen 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
14 Buderich 5 1 2 2 8:14 5
15 Wuppertaler 7 1 1 5 7:10 4
16 Juchen-Garzweiler 5 1 1 3 9:14 4
17 Meerbusch 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
18 Holzheim 6 0 1 5 7:23 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)