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Swan City vs St. Petersburg FC

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2024 game between Swan City and St. Petersburg FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swan City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Swan City
6%
Draws
90%
St. Petersburg FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Petersburg FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Petersburg FC come out ahead of Swan City on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on St. Petersburg FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Swan City Clean Sheet 10%
St. Petersburg FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swan City St. Petersburg FC
Matches Played 24 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.67 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.67 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.67 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 USL League Two
St. Petersburg FC vs Swan City
4:1
May 29, 2024 USL League Two
Swan City vs St. Petersburg FC
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swan City 10 / 100
St. Petersburg FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swan City St. Petersburg FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: St. Petersburg FC conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Swan City scored in 50% of their last 24 outings.

Swan City went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swan City VS St. Petersburg FC
0.67 Goals Scored 2.13
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.25
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swan City

(Home)
30 Jun
Swan City
1 : 0
Weston
26 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Tampa Bay U23
23 Jun
Swan City
0 : 3
Miami AC
19 Jun
Swan City
1 : 2
Miami AC
16 Jun
Tampa Bay U23
1 : 0
Swan City
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St. Petersburg FC

(Away)
12 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
3 : 1
Weston
08 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 2
Fort Lauderdale United
02 Jul
St. Petersburg FC
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
28 Jun
St. Petersburg FC
5 : 0
Miami City
21 Jun
Miami AC
1 : 3
St. Petersburg FC
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