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Swansea U21 vs Millwall U21

England England

Premier League Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Demery C.
Assist: Parker S.
32' Event
Bates M.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Howland J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Swansea U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Swansea U21
15%
Draws
0%
Millwall U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swansea U21 come out ahead of Millwall U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Swansea U21 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Swansea U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Swansea U21, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Swansea U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Millwall U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea U21 Millwall U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 3
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 2.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2026 Professional Development League
Swansea U21 vs Millwall U21
1:1
Jan 16, 2026 Professional Development League
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
2:5
Dec 20, 2025 Premier League Cup
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
1:5
Nov 21, 2025 Premier League Cup
Swansea U21 vs Millwall U21
2:1
Jan 24, 2025 Professional Development League
Millwall U21 vs Swansea U21
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Demery C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Millwall U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Howland J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea U21 85 / 100
Millwall U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea U21 Millwall U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea U21 scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Millwall U21 conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Millwall U21's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Swansea U21 VS Millwall U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
75% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
2 : 1
Swansea U21
14 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Huddersfield U21
07 Sept
Swansea U21
2 : 2
Huddersfield U21
01 Sept
Hull City U21
0 : 2
Swansea U21
25 Aug
Swansea U21
2 : 3
Peterborough U21
Page 1 of 7

Millwall U21

(Away)
15 Sept
Millwall U21
0 : 3
Bolton U21
01 Sept
Fleetwood Town U21
1 : 0
Millwall U21
25 Aug
Millwall U21
2 : 4
Huddersfield U21
14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0
Millwall U21
14 Jul
Hornchurch
3 : 0
Millwall U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U21 6 5 0 1 10:3 15
2 Bournemouth U21 6 3 2 1 15:10 11
3 Hull City U21 6 2 0 4 12:12 6
4 Birmingham U21 6 0 2 4 5:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U21 6 6 0 0 14:7 18
2 Stoke City U21 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
3 Derby U21 6 1 2 3 15:12 5
4 Bristol City U21 6 1 1 4 10:18 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U21 6 4 1 1 12:4 13
2 Charlton U21 6 3 1 2 9:14 10
3 Leicester U21 6 2 0 4 11:9 6
4 Preston U21 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watford U21 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
2 Blackburn U21 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
3 Leyton Orient U21 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
4 Coventry U21 6 1 3 2 7:10 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U21 6 4 1 1 13:10 13
2 Brentford U21 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Exeter U21 6 2 1 3 4:7 7
4 Luton U21 6 1 0 5 8:19 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U21 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
2 QPR U21 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Cardiff U21 6 2 1 3 15:12 7
4 Stockport U21 6 2 0 4 11:17 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U21 6 5 1 0 10:3 16
2 Swansea U21 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Wolves U21 6 2 1 3 9:11 7
4 Millwall U21 6 0 1 5 7:17 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester U21 6 3 1 2 15:12 10
2 Sunderland U21 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
3 Bromley U21 6 3 0 3 7:11 9
4 Norwich U21 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)