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Swansea U23 vs Charlton U23

England England

Professional Development League 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Gavin D.
22' Event
Henry A.
53' Event
Whittaker T.

AI Match Summary

Charlton U23 in this Professional Development League 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlton U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Swansea U23
35%
Draws
34%
Charlton U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Charlton U23 have won more games recently than Swansea U23.
  • Model gives Swansea U23 a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Charlton U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea U23 Charlton U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.37 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2022 Professional Development League
Charlton U23 vs Swansea U23
1:1
Nov 22, 2021 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Charlton U23
1:3
Feb 15, 2021 Professional Development League
Charlton U23 vs Swansea U23
3:4
Nov 24, 2020 Professional Development League
Swansea U23 vs Charlton U23
0:3
Jan 18, 2020 Premier League Cup
Swansea U23 vs Charlton U23
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Whittaker T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.17

Charlton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gavin D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Henry A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea U23 40 / 100
Charlton U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea U23 Charlton U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Swansea U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Swansea U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Swansea U23 VS Charlton U23
2.17 Goals Scored 2.88
1.33 Goals Conceded 2.5
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 100%
67% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea U23

(Home)
28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2
Swansea U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
04 Apr
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Sheffield Wed U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
14 Mar
Swansea U23
5 : 1
QPR U23
Page 1 of 6

Charlton U23

(Away)
22 Jul
Charlton U23
3 : 0
Welling
16 Jul
Wealdstone
0 : 1
Charlton U23
12 Jul
Hampton & Richmond
3 : 2
Charlton U23
05 Jul
Neots
2 : 2
Charlton U23
02 Jul
Deal Town
2 : 6
Charlton U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Utd U23 23 15 3 5 47:23 48
2 Coventry U23 23 13 4 6 57:39 43
3 Hull City U23 23 12 4 7 44:41 40
4 Wigan U23 23 7 4 12 31:39 25
5 Crewe U23 23 7 2 14 27:50 23
6 Peterborough U23 23 5 7 11 36:41 22
7 Barnsley U23 23 5 7 11 22:42 22
8 Sheffield Wed U23 23 4 8 11 21:32 20
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipswich U23 24 16 3 5 58:27 51
2 Bristol City U23 24 15 5 4 60:31 50
3 Cardiff U23 24 15 2 7 44:30 47
4 Charlton U23 24 10 6 8 55:46 36
5 Millwall U23 24 9 3 12 34:45 30
6 Colchester U23 24 8 5 11 35:44 29
7 Watford U23 24 6 7 11 28:43 25
8 Swansea U23 24 5 9 10 34:41 24
9 QPR U23 24 7 3 14 34:53 24
Promotion - Professional Development League 2021/2022 (Play Offs)