Sport Picks

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Swansea U23 vs Exeter U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Forrester J.
39' Event
Rowe C. M.
63' Event
Seymour B.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 2-2. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Swansea U23
35%
Draws
20%
Exeter U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swansea U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Swansea U23 haven't matched Exeter U23's recent run of results.
  • Swansea U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Exeter U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Swansea U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea U23 Exeter U23
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 13 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.35 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.46 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2022 Premier League Cup
Swansea U23 vs Exeter U23
2:2
Sep 7, 2021 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Swansea U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Forrester J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.73

Exeter U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe C. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seymour B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea U23 84 / 100
Exeter U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea U23 Exeter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Swansea U23 scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Exeter U23 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Swansea U23 VS Exeter U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea U23

(Home)
28 Apr
Wigan U23
2 : 2
Swansea U23
25 Apr
Swansea U23
4 : 2
Colchester U23
04 Apr
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Sheffield Wed U23
22 Mar
Barnsley U23
0 : 0
Swansea U23
14 Mar
Swansea U23
5 : 1
QPR U23
Page 1 of 7

Exeter U23

(Away)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)