Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Sub
Widell M. In: Walta L.
Out: Widell M.
46'
46'
Sub
Stamenic M. In: Fulton J.
Out: Stamenic M.
60'
60'
Sub
Fevrier J. In: Rankin-Costello J.
Out: Fevrier J.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Swansea and Charlton finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swansea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Charlton haven't matched Swansea's recent run of results.
- 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Swansea have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swansea | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Charlton
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
Charlton vs Swansea
1:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Charlton vs Swansea
1:2
Jan 2, 2020 Championship
Swansea vs Charlton
1:0
Oct 2, 2019 Championship
Charlton vs Swansea
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Idah A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Walta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Charlton Compare
Top Goalscorer Leaburn M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swansea 36 / 100
Charlton 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swansea Charlton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swansea scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Charlton conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Swansea has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Swansea VS Charlton
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Swansea
(Home) 28 Jul
Merthyr Town
3 : 0 Swansea
24 Jul
Swansea
2 : 0 Udinese
21 Jul
Swansea
0 : 2 Bochum
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
02 May
Swansea
3 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Swansea
2 : 0 Udinese
21 Jul
Swansea
0 : 2 Bochum
18 Jul
Swansea
2 : 2 Holstein Kiel
02 May
Swansea
3 : 1 Charlton
18 Apr
Swansea
1 : 2 Southampton
Page 1 of 3
Charlton
(Away) 28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2 Charlton
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
10 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1 Charlton
03 Jul
Dartford
0 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Colchester
0 : 2 Charlton
25 Jul
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 Charlton
18 Jul
Gillingham
0 : 1 Charlton
10 Jul
Maribor
1 : 1 Charlton
03 Jul
Dartford
0 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
