Sport Picks
Match Events
36'
36'
Sub
Widell M. In: Walta L.
Out: Widell M.
46'
46'
Sub
Stamenic M. In: Fulton J.
Out: Stamenic M.
60'
60'
Sub
Fevrier J. In: Rankin-Costello J.
Out: Fevrier J.
AI Match Summary
The Championship 2025/2026 game between Swansea and Charlton finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swansea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Charlton haven't matched Swansea's recent run of results.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Swansea taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Swansea have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 20%
Charlton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swansea | Charlton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Championship
Swansea vs Charlton
3:1
Nov 1, 2025 Championship
Charlton vs Swansea
1:1
Jul 23, 2022 Club Friendly
Charlton vs Swansea
1:2
Jan 2, 2020 Championship
Swansea vs Charlton
1:0
Oct 2, 2019 Championship
Charlton vs Swansea
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Idah A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Walta L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Charlton Compare
Top Goalscorer Leaburn M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swansea 85 / 100
Charlton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swansea Charlton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swansea scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Charlton conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Swansea has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Swansea VS Charlton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Swansea
(Home) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1 Birmingham
Page 1 of 4
Charlton
(Away) 19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
12 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0 Portsmouth
09 Sept
Charlton
0 : 0 QPR
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1 Charlton
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Cardiff
3 : 1 Charlton
05 Sept
Stoke City
4 : 0 Charlton
02 Sept
West Brom
1 : 1 Charlton
26 Aug
Tottenham
5 : 1 Charlton
22 Aug
West Ham
1 : 2 Charlton
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
