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Swansea vs Hull City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Vipotnik Z.
Assist: Yalcouye M.
45' Event
McBurnie O.
Assist: Giles R.
52'
Tymon J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Swansea
30%
Draws
23%
Hull City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Swansea have won more games recently than Hull City.
  • Win probability leans Swansea's way, sitting at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Swansea Clean Sheet 68%
Hull City Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea Hull City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Championship
Hull City vs Swansea
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Hull City
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Hull City
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Championship
Hull City vs Swansea
2:1
Feb 10, 2024 Championship
Hull City vs Swansea
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vipotnik Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ronald
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Hull City Compare

Top Goalscorer McBurnie O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Egan J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 50 / 100
Hull City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea Hull City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Hull City has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Swansea remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS Hull City
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

Hull City

(Away)
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
12 Sept
Chelsea
2 : 2
Hull City
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Hull City
0 : 0
Aston Villa
29 Aug
Coventry
0 : 1
Hull City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)