Sport Picks
Swansea vs Oxford Utd Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Championship 2025/2026 Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea 
Match Events
40'
40'
Stamenic M.
Assist: Tymon J.
43'
43'
Tymon J.
43'
43'
Harris M.
AI Match Summary
Swansea in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Swansea have won more games recently than Oxford Utd.
- Swansea are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Swansea Clean Sheet 19%
Oxford Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swansea | Oxford Utd |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 29, 2025 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Swansea
0:1
Dec 6, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Oxford Utd
2:0
May 3, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Oxford Utd
3:3
Nov 2, 2024 Championship
Oxford Utd vs Swansea
1:2
Jul 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Oxford Utd vs Swansea
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Stamenic M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tymon J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Oxford Utd Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swansea 42 / 100
Oxford Utd 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swansea Oxford Utd
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swansea found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).
Oxford Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Swansea has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Swansea VS Oxford Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Swansea
(Home) 19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2 Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1 Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1 Burnley
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0 Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0 Watford
22 Aug
Swansea
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
08 Aug
Swansea
0 : 1 Birmingham
Page 1 of 4
Oxford Utd
(Away) 19 Sept
Oxford Utd
1 : 1 Cambridge Utd
12 Sept
Oxford Utd
3 : 0 Burton
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4 Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oxford Utd
22 Aug
Stevenage
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 Oxford Utd
25 Jul
Barnet
1 : 2 Oxford Utd
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull City | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)
