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Swansea vs West Ham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Championship Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swansea host West Ham in the Championship. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Swansea at 1.33 goals for, 1.26 against; West Ham at 2 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Swansea have won 2 to West Ham's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2018, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.81) point toward West Ham. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Swansea
30%
Draws
31%
West Ham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: West Ham at 2 per game, Swansea at 1.33.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Swansea Clean Sheet 11%
West Ham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea West Ham
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.33 2
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2018 Premier League
Swansea vs West Ham
4:1
Sep 30, 2017 Premier League
West Ham vs Swansea
1:0
Apr 8, 2017 Premier League
West Ham vs Swansea
1:0
Dec 26, 2016 Premier League
Swansea vs West Ham
1:4
May 7, 2016 Premier League
West Ham vs Swansea
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea 30 / 100
West Ham 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea West Ham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Ham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Swansea scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

West Ham has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Swansea stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea VS West Ham
1.38 Goals Scored 3
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea

(Home)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

West Ham

(Away)
09 Oct
West Ham
1 : 1
QPR
19 Sept
Millwall
2 : 2
West Ham
15 Sept
West Ham
2 : 3
Fulham
11 Sept
West Ham
6 : 0
Wrexham
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)