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Swansea W vs Cardiff City W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Chivers C.
18' Event
Evans S.
Own Goal
52' Event
Richards E.

AI Match Summary

Swansea W in this Adran Premier Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Swansea W
15%
Draws
36%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Cardiff City W average 3.21 goals a game right now, well clear of Swansea W's 2.88.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Cardiff City W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 16%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 23 23
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 2.88 3.21
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chivers C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richards E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Keenan G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 31 / 100
Cardiff City W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea W Cardiff City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea W found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Cardiff City W conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Swansea W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Swansea W VS Cardiff City W
2 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea W

(Home)
04 Oct
Barry Town W
0 : 4
Swansea W
27 Sept
TNS W
4 : 3
Swansea W
20 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
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Cardiff City W

(Away)
04 Oct
Cardiff City W
7 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Cardiff City W
3 : 2
Briton Ferry W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS W 5 5 0 0 25:6 15
2 Wrexham W 5 4 0 1 25:6 12
3 Swansea W 5 4 0 1 14:6 12
4 Cardiff City W 5 3 0 2 17:11 9
5 Briton Ferry W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
6 Cardiff Met. Ladies W 5 1 1 3 5:14 4
7 Aberystwyth W 5 0 0 5 2:21 0
8 Barry Town W 5 0 0 5 3:28 0
Promotion - Adran Premier Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Adran Premier Women (Relegation Group)