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Swansea W vs Cardiff City W Prediction & H2H Stats

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Williams J.
51' Event
Cook M.
56' Event
Cook M.

AI Match Summary

Cardiff City W in this Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cardiff City W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Swansea W
15%
Draws
31%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swansea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cardiff City W lately — more wins on the board than Swansea W.
  • Win probability leans Swansea W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • History favors Cardiff City W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 22 23
Draws 0 4
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.84 2.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
3:1
Mar 22, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 65 / 100
Cardiff City W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea W Cardiff City W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swansea W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea W found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Cardiff City W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Swansea W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swansea W VS Cardiff City W
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swansea W

(Home)
27 Sept
TNS W
4 : 3
Swansea W
20 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
05 Apr
Wrexham W
1 : 2
Swansea W
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Cardiff City W

(Away)
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Cardiff City W
3 : 2
Briton Ferry W
13 Sept
Cardiff City W
2 : 4
Wrexham W
06 Sept
Swansea W
3 : 1
Cardiff City W
09 Aug
Cardiff City W
3 : 3
Torquay W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wrexham W 20 16 1 3 70:26 49
2 Cardiff City W 20 14 3 3 65:24 45
3 Swansea W 20 12 0 8 58:35 36
4 TNS W 20 8 3 9 40:38 27
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)