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Swansea W vs Cardiff City W

Wales Wales

Premier Women
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swansea W play Cardiff City W in the Premier Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Swansea W averaged 3.25 goals scored and 2 conceded. Cardiff City W averaged 3.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Swansea W won 0, Cardiff City W won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Swansea W and 2.69 for Cardiff City W. This points to a Cardiff City W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Swansea W
40%
Draws
29%
Cardiff City W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cardiff City W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Swansea W.
  • Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 40% draw probability.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Swansea W Clean Sheet 10%
Cardiff City W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swansea W Cardiff City W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 19 22
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 3.25 3.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
2:1
Mar 15, 2026 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Premier Women
Swansea W vs Cardiff City W
1:3
Sep 28, 2025 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Premier Women
Cardiff City W vs Swansea W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swansea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Cardiff City W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cook M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swansea W 30 / 100
Cardiff City W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swansea W Cardiff City W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swansea W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Cardiff City W let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Swansea W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Cardiff City W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swansea W VS Cardiff City W
3.25 Goals Scored 3.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wrexham W20161370:2649
2Cardiff City W20143365:2445
3Swansea W20120858:3536
4TNS W2083940:3827