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Swarm FC vs Asheville City

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Swarm FC and Asheville City finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asheville City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Swarm FC
20%
Draws
38%
Asheville City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Swarm FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Asheville City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Swarm FC's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Asheville City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Swarm FC Clean Sheet 11%
Asheville City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swarm FC Asheville City
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 9, 2025 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Asheville City
0:3
Jun 4, 2025 USL League Two
Asheville City vs Swarm FC
1:0
May 24, 2024 USL League Two
Asheville City vs Swarm FC
4:1
May 17, 2024 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Asheville City
0:5
Jul 1, 2023 USL League Two
Swarm FC vs Asheville City
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swarm FC 40 / 100
Asheville City 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swarm FC Asheville City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Swarm FC's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Solid form: Swarm FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Asheville City has conceded goals in 46% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Swarm FC VS Asheville City
2.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 13%