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Sweden U17 W vs Norway U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2024
Mon, Jul 1, 2024
3 - 4
03:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Sjostrom F.
15'
Herseth C.
26' Event
Persson Welin T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between Sweden U17 W and Norway U17 W finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sweden U17 W
15%
Draws
37%
Norway U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sweden U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Norway U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sweden U17 W a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Norway U17 W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sweden U17 W Clean Sheet 18%
Norway U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U17 W Norway U17 W
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 18
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 2.71 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.30 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2024 Friendly International Women
Sweden U17 W vs Norway U17 W
3:4
May 11, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Norway U17 W vs Sweden U17 W
2:0
Mar 17, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Norway U17 W vs Sweden U17 W
1:0
Mar 30, 2022 Euro U17 Women
Norway U17 W vs Sweden U17 W
2:0
Mar 8, 2016 Euro U17 Women
Norway U17 W vs Sweden U17 W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Persson Welin T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sjostrom F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.77
Avg xA / game 1.15

Norway U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Preus M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fuglas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U17 W 67 / 100
Norway U17 W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U17 W Norway U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U17 W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sweden U17 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Norway U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U17 W VS Norway U17 W
3.6 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U17 W

(Home)
05 Mar
Sweden U17 W
3 : 0
Ireland U17 W
02 Mar
Germany U17 W
2 : 1
Sweden U17 W
27 Feb
Denmark U17 W
3 : 2
Sweden U17 W
09 Nov
Sweden U17 W
3 : 0
Malta U17 W
06 Nov
Lithuania U17 W
0 : 9
Sweden U17 W
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Norway U17 W

(Away)
07 Oct
Norway U17 W
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U17 W
14 May
France U17 W
2 : 1
Norway U17 W
10 May
England U17 W
1 : 1
Norway U17 W
07 May
Northern Ireland U17 W
0 : 3
Norway U17 W
04 May
Norway U17 W
1 : 3
Germany U17 W
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