Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U19 vs Estonia U19

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2025 Borås Arena, Borås
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Pihlstrom E.
14'
Antwi G.
35' Event
Siht R.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 2025 game between Sweden U19 and Estonia U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Estonia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sweden U19
30%
Draws
23%
Estonia U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sweden U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Estonia U19 come out ahead of Sweden U19 on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Sweden U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sweden U19 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Sweden U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Estonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U19 Estonia U19
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.36 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2024 Euro U19
Sweden U19 vs Estonia U19
1:2
Nov 16, 2019 Euro U19
Sweden U19 vs Estonia U19
4:0
Oct 4, 2017 Euro U19
Estonia U19 vs Sweden U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pihlstrom E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Estonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Siht R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalimullin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U19 95 / 100
Estonia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U19 Estonia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estonia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Sweden U19 scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Sweden U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U19 VS Estonia U19
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U19

(Home)
31 Mar
Sweden U19
2 : 2
Greece U19
31 Mar
Cyprus U19
1 : 3
Sweden U19
28 Mar
Belgium U19
3 : 3
Sweden U19
28 Mar
Austria U19
3 : 0
Sweden U19
25 Mar
Germany U19
2 : 2
Sweden U19
Page 1 of 6

Estonia U19

(Away)
08 Jun
Latvia U19
3 : 2
Estonia U19
06 Jun
Estonia U19
3 : 1
Lithuania U19
31 Mar
Estonia U19
0 : 4
Ukraine U19
28 Mar
Finland U19
2 : 1
Estonia U19
25 Mar
Czech Republic U19
2 : 0
Estonia U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
3 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Ukraine U19 3 0 0 3 1:4 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Hungary U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Cyprus U19 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Andorra U19 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 Belgium U19 3 1 2 0 5:2 5
3 Bulgaria U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Lithuania U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U19 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Turkey U19 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Malta U19 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Wales U19 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
3 Scotland U19 3 1 1 1 4:1 4
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Finland U19 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 Switzerland U19 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
4 San Marino U19 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ireland U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Iceland U19 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Moldova U19 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
4 Azerbaijan U19 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Montenegro U19 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Greece U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U19 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Georgia U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Estonia U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Sweden U19 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
2 Spain U19 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Kosovo U19 3 2 0 1 6:7 6
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Israel U19 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Northern Ireland U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Albania U19 3 0 0 3 0:8 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia U19 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Luxembourg U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 Latvia U19 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 North Macedonia U19 3 0 2 1 2:5 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serbia U19 3 2 1 0 7:2 7
2 Croatia U19 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Belarus U19 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Armenia U19 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2025 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams