Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U19 W vs Italy U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2025 Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola, Stalowa Wola
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Fadda P.
Assist: Ferraresi E.
57'
Sub
Bjorklund T. In: Lundin E.
Out: Bjorklund T.
67'
Sub
Zamboni M. In: Cherubini M.
Out: Zamboni M.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 Women 2025 game between Sweden U19 W and Italy U19 W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Italy U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sweden U19 W
30%
Draws
29%
Italy U19 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sweden U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U19 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Sweden U19 W taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sweden U19 W Clean Sheet 18%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U19 W Italy U19 W
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 14 12
Draws 3 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.28 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:0
Jun 18, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:1
Apr 8, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Italy U19 W
0:0
Jan 30, 2020 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1:0
Jan 28, 2020 Friendly International Women
Italy U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Italy U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Fadda P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U19 W 67 / 100
Italy U19 W 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U19 W Italy U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sweden U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sweden U19 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Sweden U19 W scored in 56% of their last 32 outings.

Italy U19 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U19 W VS Italy U19 W
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U19 W

(Home)
07 Jul
Spain U19 W
3 : 0
Sweden U19 W
03 Jul
Germany U19 W
2 : 0
Sweden U19 W
30 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W
0 : 5
Sweden U19 W
27 Jun
Sweden U19 W
1 : 0
Poland U19 W
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
Page 1 of 7

Italy U19 W

(Away)
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
14 Apr
Italy U19 W
1 : 5
Netherlands U19 W
11 Apr
Italy U19 W
2 : 0
Ukraine U19 W
07 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 0
Poland U19 W
06 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 1
Germany U19 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 W 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Italy U19 W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Poland U19 W 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
4 Sweden U19 W 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 W 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
2 Portugal U19 W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 England U19 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Netherlands U19 W 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Play Offs)