Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2026 Stadion Grbavica, Sarajevo
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Forss A. In: Ekberg A.
Out: Forss A.
59'
Sub
Amcoff I. In: Sjostrom F.
Out: Amcoff I.
63'
Sub
Zwiazek O. In: Swirska L.
Out: Zwiazek O.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 Women 2026 game between Sweden U19 W and Poland U19 W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sweden U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sweden U19 W
33%
Draws
27%
Poland U19 W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sweden U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Sweden U19 W haven't matched Poland U19 W's recent run of results.
  • Sweden U19 W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 Women 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Sweden U19 W Clean Sheet 68%
Poland U19 W Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U19 W Poland U19 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
1:0
Dec 2, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
0:2
Jun 21, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
0:5
Apr 6, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Poland U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
2:4
Mar 4, 2020 Friendly International Women
Sweden U19 W vs Poland U19 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekberg A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Poland U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U19 W 50 / 100
Poland U19 W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U19 W Poland U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sweden U19 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U19 W found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Poland U19 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U19 W VS Poland U19 W
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U19 W

(Home)
07 Jul
Spain U19 W
3 : 0
Sweden U19 W
03 Jul
Germany U19 W
2 : 0
Sweden U19 W
30 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W
0 : 5
Sweden U19 W
27 Jun
Sweden U19 W
1 : 0
Poland U19 W
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
Page 1 of 7

Poland U19 W

(Away)
03 Jul
Poland U19 W
5 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W
30 Jun
Poland U19 W
1 : 1
Germany U19 W
27 Jun
Sweden U19 W
1 : 0
Poland U19 W
18 Apr
Greece U19 W
0 : 3
Poland U19 W
15 Apr
Poland U19 W
0 : 0
Belgium U19 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U19 W32108:17
2Sweden U19 W32016:26
3Poland U19 W31116:34
4Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W30031:150
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U19 W32108:37
2Austria U19 W32017:36
3Switzerland U19 W31117:84
4Iceland U19 W30033:110
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Play Offs)