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Sweden U21 vs Belgium U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Oliva Nova Golf & Beach Resort, Oliva
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Perez Vinlof M.
49' Event
Omorowa R.
(Penalty)
52'
Lagae B.

AI Match Summary

Belgium U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belgium U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Sweden U21
15%
Draws
48%
Belgium U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belgium U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belgium U21 lately — more wins on the board than Sweden U21.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Belgium U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Belgium U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U21 Belgium U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs Belgium U21
1:2
Oct 16, 2018 Euro U21
Sweden U21 vs Belgium U21
0:3
Oct 6, 2017 Euro U21
Belgium U21 vs Sweden U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Belgium U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Idumbo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pauwels B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U21 30 / 100
Belgium U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U21 Belgium U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belgium U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U21 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Sweden U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Belgium U21 let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U21 VS Belgium U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U21

(Home)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
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Belgium U21

(Away)
24 Sept
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Belarus U21
30 Mar
Netherlands U21
2 : 1
Belgium U21
27 Mar
Belgium U21
1 : 0
Austria U21
14 Nov
Austria U21
1 : 0
Belgium U21
14 Oct
Belgium U21
2 : 0
Denmark U21
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