Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Stadsparksvallen, Jönköping

Sweden U21

0 - 6

Poland U21

Our Tip

Match Events

Pienko T.

Assist: Kowalczyk M.

22'

Sub

Swedberg W. In: Njie A.

Out: Swedberg W.

31'

Pienko T.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Sweden U21 and Poland U21 finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Sweden U21

15%

Draws

58%

Poland U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Poland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Poland U21 a 58% chance of winning this.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Poland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sweden U21	Poland U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	18
Draws	6	5
Losses	12	7
Goals Scored	1.97	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.53	1.2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.44	2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21

Sweden U21 vs Poland U21

0:6

Jun 19, 2017 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21

2:2

Sep 8, 2015 Friendly International

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21

0:0

Oct 12, 2013 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21

2:0

Sep 6, 2013 Euro U21

Sweden U21 vs Poland U21

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11

Avg xA / game 0.72

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pienko T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Urbanski K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.99

Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U21 10 / 100

Poland U21 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sweden U21 Poland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Sweden U21's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Poland U21 let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Sweden U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U21 VS Poland U21

1.38 Goals Scored 2.38

2 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 88%

50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U21

(Home)

04 Jun

Sweden U21

1 : 3

Finland U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

27 Mar

Sweden U21

2 : 2

Montenegro U21

18 Nov

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Sweden U21

13 Nov

North Macedonia U21

1 : 4

Sweden U21

Page 1 of 6

Poland U21

(Away)

31 Mar

Montenegro U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

27 Mar

Poland U21

4 : 1

Armenia U21

18 Nov

North Macedonia U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

14 Nov

Poland U21

2 : 1

Italy U21

14 Oct

Sweden U21

0 : 6

Poland U21

Page 1 of 6