Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden U21 vs Qatar U23

World World

Friendly International 2025 Stadion Branko Cavlovic-Cavlek, Karlovac
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tamer N.
13' Event
Taha M.
54' Event
Omorowa R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Sweden U21 and Qatar U23 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Qatar U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Sweden U21
30%
Draws
16%
Qatar U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sweden U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sweden U21 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Qatar U23 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U21 Qatar U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 Friendly International
Sweden U21 vs Qatar U23
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Qatar U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Tamer N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Taha M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U21 34 / 100
Qatar U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U21 Qatar U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U21 scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Qatar U23 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sweden U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U21 VS Qatar U23
1 Goals Scored 0.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U21

(Home)
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Sweden U21
0 : 4
Italy U21
27 Mar
Sweden U21
2 : 2
Montenegro U21
18 Nov
Armenia U21
0 : 1
Sweden U21
13 Nov
North Macedonia U21
1 : 4
Sweden U21
Page 1 of 6

Qatar U23

(Away)
18 Sept
Saudi Arabia U23
2 : 0
Qatar U23
15 Sept
Qatar U23
1 : 4
South Korea U23
06 Sept
Al-Waab
1 : 1
Qatar U23
31 Aug
Al Bidda
2 : 0
Qatar U23
25 Aug
Umm-Salal
1 : 1
Qatar U23
Page 1 of 6