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Sweden U23 W vs Finland U23 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Forsblom W.
21' Event
Forsblom W.
36'
Vapola H.

AI Match Summary

Sweden U23 W in this Friendly International Women matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sweden U23 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Sweden U23 W
20%
Draws
33%
Finland U23 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sweden U23 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sweden U23 W have won more games recently than Finland U23 W.
  • Win probability leans Sweden U23 W's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sweden U23 W Clean Sheet 16%
Finland U23 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden U23 W Finland U23 W
Matches Played 37 21
Wins 24 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.08 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.78 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 15, 2021 Friendly International Women
Sweden U23 W vs Finland U23 W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Selin N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wangerheim E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.37
Avg xA / game 0.89

Finland U23 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsblom W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden U23 W 36 / 100
Finland U23 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden U23 W Finland U23 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden U23 W scored in 84% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Finland U23 W conceded in 71% of 21 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Sweden U23 W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden U23 W VS Finland U23 W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.43
88% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden U23 W

(Home)
08 Oct
Sweden U23 W
3 : 2
Finland U23 W
08 Jun
Sweden U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
03 Jun
Sweden U23 W
2 : 0
Norway U23 W
17 Apr
England U23 W
3 : 0
Sweden U23 W
13 Apr
Norway U23 W
0 : 1
Sweden U23 W
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Finland U23 W

(Away)
08 Oct
Sweden U23 W
3 : 2
Finland U23 W
09 Jun
South Korea U20 W
1 : 2
Finland U23 W
06 Jun
Portugal U20 W
1 : 0
Finland U23 W
03 Jun
Finland U23 W
4 : 1
Brazil U20 W
28 Oct
Finland U23 W
1 : 1
Mexico U23 W
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