Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sweden vs Greece

World World

Friendly International Strawberry Arena, Solna
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Tsimikas K.
Assist: Tzolis C.
19'
Retsos P.
53' Event
Gyokeres V.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sweden
35%
Draws
24%
Greece
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sweden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Greece lately — more wins on the board than Sweden.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Sweden Clean Sheet 16%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden Greece
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.93 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Friendly International
Sweden vs Greece
2:2
Oct 12, 2021 World Championship
Sweden vs Greece
2:0
Sep 8, 2021 World Championship
Greece vs Sweden
2:1
Jun 10, 2008 Euro
Greece vs Sweden
0:2
Aug 20, 2003 Friendly International
Sweden vs Greece
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden Compare

Top Goalscorer Gyokeres V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nilsson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Greece Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsimikas K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Masouras G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden 31 / 100
Greece 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden Greece

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Greece Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Sweden stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Greece's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Sweden VS Greece
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden

(Home)
30 Jun
France
3 : 0
Sweden
25 Jun
Japan
1 : 1
Sweden
20 Jun
Netherlands
5 : 1
Sweden
15 Jun
Sweden
5 : 1
Tunisia
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
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Greece

(Away)
07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1
Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2
Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0
Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1
Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0
Greece
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