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Sweden W vs Wales W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Sweden W Logo

Sweden W

1 - 1
FT
Wales W Logo

Wales W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Morgan E. In: Woodham L.
Out: Morgan E.
59' Event
Eriksson M.
63'
Sub
Bennison H. In: Zigiotti Olme J.
Out: Bennison H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Sweden W and Wales W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Sweden W
30%
Draws
51%
Wales W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wales W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sweden W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Wales W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sweden W Clean Sheet 11%
Wales W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sweden W Wales W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Sweden W vs Wales W
1:1
Feb 25, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Wales W vs Sweden W
1:1
Aug 25, 2010 World Cup Women
Sweden W vs Wales W
5:1
Mar 31, 2010 World Cup Women
Wales W vs Sweden W
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sweden W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eriksson M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Wales W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cain H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sweden W 10 / 100
Wales W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sweden W Wales W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wales W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sweden W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Wales W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Sweden W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sweden W VS Wales W
0.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sweden W

(Home)
09 Jun
Sweden W
2 : 2
Italy W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

Wales W

(Away)
09 Jun
Wales W
3 : 1
Czech Republic W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Albania W
0 : 1
Wales W
14 Apr
Wales W
4 : 0
Albania W
07 Mar
Wales W
6 : 1
Montenegro W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 26:4 16
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 11:10 11
3 Austria W 6 2 0 4 5:16 6
4 Scotland W 6 0 1 5 3:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 6 0 0 14:2 18
2 Norway W 6 2 2 2 4:5 8
3 Iceland W 6 0 4 2 6:9 4
4 Switzerland W 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:8 15
2 England W 6 3 1 2 16:6 10
3 Belgium W 6 2 0 4 9:16 6
4 Portugal W 6 1 1 4 5:21 4
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 6 3 3 0 13:6 12
2 Italy W 6 3 1 2 11:7 10
3 Denmark W 6 3 0 3 8:13 9
4 Wales W 6 0 2 4 4:10 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)