Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swindon Supermarine vs Frome Town

England England

Southern League Premier South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Williams H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2024/2025 game between Swindon Supermarine and Frome Town finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swindon Supermarine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Swindon Supermarine
30%
Draws
34%
Frome Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swindon Supermarine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Swindon Supermarine come out ahead of Frome Town on wins alone.
  • Model gives Swindon Supermarine a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Swindon Supermarine Clean Sheet 19%
Frome Town Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon Supermarine Frome Town
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Swindon Supermarine vs Frome Town
1:0
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Swindon Supermarine
3:0
Jan 26, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Swindon Supermarine vs Frome Town
0:4
Nov 20, 2018 Southern League Premier South
Frome Town vs Swindon Supermarine
1:2
Dec 17, 2011 Southern Premier League
Swindon Supermarine vs Frome Town
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swindon Supermarine Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Frome Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon Supermarine 36 / 100
Frome Town 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon Supermarine Frome Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swindon Supermarine scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Frome Town conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Swindon Supermarine remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swindon Supermarine VS Frome Town
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Merthyr Town4227105105:4691
2AFC Totton422513485:3588
3Walton & Hersham422411790:5483
4Gloucester City422114781:5377
5Dorchester421918575:4875
6Havant & Waterlooville4221111084:4974
7Hungerford4216111563:5559
8Hanwell Town4215131458:6258
9Taunton Town4213181164:5857
10Wimborne4215121549:5657
11Sholing4214101859:6852
12Gosport Borough4213121753:6151
13Plymouth Parkway421482063:7750
14Poole Town4213101948:6249
15Basingstoke4211151662:6448
16Chertsey Town421452367:8247
17Tiverton4212111939:7147
18Bracknell Town4211131857:7246
19Winchester City4212102054:7446
20Swindon Supermarine421282260:7844
21Frome Town429132039:6040
22Marlow42563145:11521