Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swindon vs Crystal Palace U21

England England

EFL Trophy County Ground, Swindon
Swindon Logo

Swindon

Tue, Sep 15, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Crystal Palace U21 Logo

Crystal Palace U21

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Crystal Palace U21 have shipped 1.93 goals a game lately, while Swindon have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Crystal Palace U21 slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 30, 2022, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.33 - 1.56) back Crystal Palace U21 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Swindon
15%
Draws
39%
Crystal Palace U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swindon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crystal Palace U21 lately — more wins on the board than Swindon.
  • Swindon are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Crystal Palace U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Swindon Clean Sheet 15%
Crystal Palace U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon Crystal Palace U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.33 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2022 EFL Trophy
Swindon vs Crystal Palace U21
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon 66 / 100
Crystal Palace U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon Crystal Palace U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swindon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swindon's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Crystal Palace U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Swindon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Swindon VS Crystal Palace U21
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 33%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon

(Home)
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0
Swindon
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2
Swindon
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4
Swindon
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3
Bristol City
Page 1 of 6

Crystal Palace U21

(Away)
21 Jul
Dagenham & Red.
5 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
04 May
Crystal Palace U21
0 : 2
Manchester United U21
26 Apr
Liverpool U21
3 : 4
Crystal Palace U21
13 Apr
Crystal Palace U21
2 : 0
Arsenal U21
03 Apr
Nottingham U21
2 : 0
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Accrington 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Salford 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sunderland U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Crewe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Aston Villa U21 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Rotherham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 York City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U21 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Port Vale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Chesterfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mansfield 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 1 1 0 0 6:3 3
2 Tranmere 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Shrewsbury 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grimsby 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Notts County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Burton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Nottingham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oldham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Fleetwood Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leeds U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochdale 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Doncaster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Huddersfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liverpool U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cheltenham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Exeter 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tottenham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leicester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Walsall 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Fulham U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
2 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
3 Bristol Rovers 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Chelsea U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colchester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Luton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Peterborough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Ipswich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Swindon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Crystal Palace U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
2 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 0 1 1:1 1
4 Arsenal U21 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Gillingham 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Cambridge Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Northampton 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Crawley Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Bromley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Brentford U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)