Sport Picks

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Swindon vs Leyton Orient

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Millard L.
28' Event
Virtue-Thick M.
36'
Sub
Clark M. In: Griffiths-Brown L.
Out: Clark M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Swindon and Leyton Orient finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swindon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Swindon
15%
Draws
57%
Leyton Orient
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leyton Orient

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leyton Orient come out ahead of Swindon on wins alone.
  • Leyton Orient are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Swindon Clean Sheet 12%
Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon Leyton Orient
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.54 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Club Friendly
Swindon vs Leyton Orient
2:1
Mar 4, 2023 League Two
Leyton Orient vs Swindon
1:1
Aug 16, 2022 League Two
Swindon vs Leyton Orient
1:1
Apr 18, 2022 League Two
Swindon vs Leyton Orient
1:2
Dec 7, 2021 League Two
Leyton Orient vs Swindon
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swindon Compare

Top Goalscorer Millard L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Virtue-Thick M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leyton Orient Compare

Top Goalscorer Archibald T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon 14 / 100
Leyton Orient 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon Leyton Orient

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swindon scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Leyton Orient let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Swindon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swindon VS Leyton Orient
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon

(Home)
08 Aug
Cardiff
3 : 2
Swindon
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4
Swindon
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Swindon
1 : 3
Bristol City
18 Jul
Crystal Palace
5 : 1
Swindon
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Leyton Orient

(Away)
08 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 0
Oxford Utd
04 Aug
Waltham Abbey
1 : 7
Leyton Orient
02 Aug
Leyton Orient
2 : 1
Antwerp
28 Jul
Swindon
2 : 1
Leyton Orient
25 Jul
Southend
1 : 2
Leyton Orient
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