Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swindon W vs Lewes W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swindon W host Lewes W in the Women's National League South. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Swindon W at 1.18 goals for, 3.29 against; Lewes W at 2 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Lewes W slightly — 0-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 19, 2017, ending 1:3. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.81, favoring Lewes W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Swindon W
30%
Draws
58%
Lewes W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lewes W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Lewes W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lewes W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lewes W have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Swindon W Clean Sheet 11%
Lewes W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swindon W Lewes W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 1 3
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 1.18 2
Goals Conceded 3.29 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2017 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Lewes W
1:3
Oct 29, 2017 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Swindon W
7:0
Jan 29, 2017 Women's National League South
Lewes W vs Swindon W
3:1
Oct 30, 2016 Women's National League South
Swindon W vs Lewes W
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swindon W 18 / 100
Lewes W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swindon W Lewes W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lewes W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Lewes W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Swindon W scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Swindon W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swindon W VS Lewes W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swindon W

(Home)
04 Oct
Swindon W
0 : 0
AFC Wimbledon W
20 Sept
Hashtag W
4 : 0
Swindon W
13 Sept
Swindon W
1 : 2
Fulham W
30 Aug
Real Bedford W
2 : 1
Swindon W
23 Aug
Portsmouth W
4 : 0
Swindon W
Page 1 of 6

Lewes W

(Away)
04 Oct
Portsmouth W
0 : 0
Lewes W
20 Sept
Lewes W
3 : 0
Cheltenham W
13 Sept
Lewes W
1 : 1
Bournemouth W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Oxford Utd W
3 : 0
Lewes W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
Promotion - Women's National League Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)