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Swinoujscie vs Cartusia Kartuzy

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swinoujscie play Cartusia Kartuzy in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Swinoujscie averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Cartusia Kartuzy averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Swinoujscie won 1, Cartusia Kartuzy won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Swinoujscie and 1.06 for Cartusia Kartuzy. This points to a Swinoujscie double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Swinoujscie
25%
Draws
31%
Cartusia Kartuzy
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Swinoujscie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Swinoujscie picked up more points recently compared to Cartusia Kartuzy.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 22%
Cartusia Kartuzy Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Cartusia Kartuzy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.23 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Cartusia Kartuzy
0:0
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Swinoujscie
1:0
May 10, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Cartusia Kartuzy vs Swinoujscie
0:2
Oct 12, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Cartusia Kartuzy
0:1
May 25, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Cartusia Kartuzy
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 44 / 100
Cartusia Kartuzy 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Cartusia Kartuzy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Swinoujscie or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Swinoujscie attacking → ← attacking Cartusia Kartuzy

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swinoujscie scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cartusia Kartuzy let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Swinoujscie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cartusia Kartuzy lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 23
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415