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Swinoujscie vs Gornik Konin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Rajch M.
79'
Prawucki K.
79'
Prawucki K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 game between Swinoujscie and Gornik Konin finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gornik Konin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Swinoujscie
33%
Draws
40%
Gornik Konin
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Gornik Konin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Swinoujscie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Gornik Konin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 13%
Gornik Konin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Gornik Konin
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Gornik Konin
0:1
Sep 5, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Gornik Konin vs Swinoujscie
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gornik Konin Compare

Top Goalscorer Rajch M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 27 / 100
Gornik Konin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Gornik Konin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gornik Konin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Swinoujscie scored in 68% of their last 40 games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Swinoujscie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%