Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swinoujscie vs KKS Kalisz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Zajac R.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II game between Swinoujscie and KKS Kalisz finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KKS Kalisz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Swinoujscie
30%
Draws
58%
KKS Kalisz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KKS Kalisz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Swinoujscie carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans KKS Kalisz's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
KKS Kalisz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie KKS Kalisz
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs KKS Kalisz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

KKS Kalisz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zajac R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 26 / 100
KKS Kalisz 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie KKS Kalisz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KKS Kalisz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KKS Kalisz has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Swinoujscie scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Swinoujscie stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS KKS Kalisz
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swinoujscie

(Home)
09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0
Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2
Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0
Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1
Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7

KKS Kalisz

(Away)
10 Oct
KKS Kalisz
2 : 4
Lech Poznan II
03 Oct
Blekitni Stargard
5 : 0
KKS Kalisz
27 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 0
Kluczevia Stargard
19 Sept
Chemik Bydgoszcz
1 : 1
KKS Kalisz
12 Sept
KKS Kalisz
1 : 1
Wda Swiecie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Polonia Sroda Wielkopol 12 9 3 0 35:16 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 34:13 28
3 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19:18 19
4 Blekitni Stargard 12 5 3 4 30:23 18
5 Lech Poznan II 10 5 3 2 21:17 18
6 Wda Swiecie 11 5 3 3 15:17 18
7 Notec Czarnkow 12 5 2 5 19:16 17
8 KKS Kalisz 12 4 5 3 18:19 17
9 Baltyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16:16 16
10 Unia Swarzedz 12 4 2 6 21:20 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 26:26 14
12 Swinoujscie 12 4 2 6 15:21 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 28:29 13
14 Elana Torun 12 3 4 5 17:22 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 19:24 12
16 Victoria Wrzesnia 12 2 5 5 12:23 11
17 Kotwica Kornik 12 3 2 7 19:33 11
18 Lipno Steszew 12 2 2 8 15:26 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)