Sport Picks
Swinoujscie vs Kotwica Kornik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
7'
7'
Chrominski D.
(Penalty)
55'
55'
Chrominski D.
AI Match Summary
Swinoujscie in this III Liga - Group II matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swinoujscie.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kotwica Kornik
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Kotwica Kornik have won more games recently than Swinoujscie.
- Swinoujscie are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Swinoujscie here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Kotwica Kornik Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swinoujscie | Kotwica Kornik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Kotwica Kornik
2:0
Nov 23, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Kotwica Kornik
2:2
Aug 3, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kornik vs Swinoujscie
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swinoujscie Compare
Top Goalscorer Chrominski D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Kotwica Kornik Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swinoujscie 40 / 100
Kotwica Kornik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swinoujscie Kotwica Kornik
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kotwica Kornik let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Swinoujscie found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).
Kotwica Kornik's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Swinoujscie VS Kotwica Kornik
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Swinoujscie
(Home) 09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0 Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5 Blekitni Stargard
19 Aug
Swinoujscie
5 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Aug
Swinoujscie
2 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 3
Kotwica Kornik
(Away) 10 Oct
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 1 Notec Czarnkow
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
26 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
1 : 3 Grom Nowy Staw
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
12 Sept
Kotwica Kornik
4 : 1 Lipno Steszew
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Unia Swarzedz
7 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
19 Sept
Gedania Gdansk
6 : 1 Kotwica Kornik
05 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
2 : 4 Kotwica Kornik
22 Aug
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
08 Aug
Swinoujscie
2 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
