Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swinoujscie vs Lipno Steszew

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Stasiak A.
45' Event
Paczuk P.
66' Event
Turski H.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Swinoujscie and Lipno Steszew finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Swinoujscie
6%
Draws
90%
Lipno Steszew
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lipno Steszew

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lipno Steszew come out ahead of Swinoujscie on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Lipno Steszew taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 13%
Lipno Steszew Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Lipno Steszew
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Lipno Steszew vs Swinoujscie
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Lipno Steszew
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Turski H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Stasiak A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Lipno Steszew Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 10 / 100
Lipno Steszew 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Lipno Steszew

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Swinoujscie scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Lipno Steszew's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Swinoujscie went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS Lipno Steszew
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Swinoujscie

(Home)
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2
Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
30 May
Blekitni Stargard
3 : 0
Swinoujscie
Page 1 of 6

Lipno Steszew

(Away)
18 Jul
Bytom Odrzanski
1 : 2
Lipno Steszew
15 Jul
Unia Swarzedz
3 : 0
Lipno Steszew
11 Jul
Lipno Steszew
3 : 0
Kotwica Kornik
04 Jul
Kleczew
0 : 1
Lipno Steszew
30 May
Lipno Steszew
4 : 3
Unia Swarzedz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)