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Swinoujscie vs Nielba Wagrowiec

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kopec L.
30' Event
Lesniewski R.
39' Event
Kubinski J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Swinoujscie
33%
Draws
40%
Nielba Wagrowiec
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Nielba Wagrowiec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Swinoujscie have won more games recently than Nielba Wagrowiec.
  • Win probability leans Nielba Wagrowiec's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Nielba Wagrowiec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Nielba Wagrowiec
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Nielba Wagrowiec
3:3
Nov 11, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Nielba Wagrowiec vs Swinoujscie
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Kopec L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Iskra P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Nielba Wagrowiec Compare

Top Goalscorer Lesniewski R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kubinski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 26 / 100
Nielba Wagrowiec 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Nielba Wagrowiec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nielba Wagrowiec has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Swinoujscie found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (37 games).

Nielba Wagrowiec lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Swinoujscie

(Home)
25 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Swinoujscie
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2
Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
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Nielba Wagrowiec

(Away)
25 Jan
Nielba Wagrowiec
0 : 3
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
27 Jul
Wda Swiecie
2 : 1
Nielba Wagrowiec
24 Feb
Nielba Wagrowiec
1 : 1
Notec Czarnkow
26 Jun
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 3
Nielba Wagrowiec
19 Jun
Nielba Wagrowiec
2 : 4
Pomorzanin Torun
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