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Stadium Background

Swinoujscie vs Starogard Gdanski

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Skwara R.
28' Event
Staniszewski D.
54' Event
Balamacek K.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2023/2024 game between Swinoujscie and Starogard Gdanski finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swinoujscie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Swinoujscie
22%
Draws
18%
Starogard Gdanski
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Swinoujscie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Starogard Gdanski haven't matched Swinoujscie's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Swinoujscie a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Swinoujscie here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Starogard Gdanski Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Starogard Gdanski
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 8 6
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Starogard Gdanski
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Swinoujscie
1:3
Oct 31, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Starogard Gdanski vs Swinoujscie
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Skwara R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Staniszewski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Starogard Gdanski Compare

Top Goalscorer Balamacek K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 56 / 100
Starogard Gdanski 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Starogard Gdanski

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Starogard Gdanski let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Swinoujscie found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (39 games).

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Starogard Gdanski has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Swinoujscie

(Home)
25 Jul
Warta Gorzow
1 : 1
Swinoujscie
18 Jul
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Baltyk Koszalin
11 Jul
Blekitni Stargard
4 : 0
Swinoujscie
11 Jul
Swit Szczecin
3 : 2
Swinoujscie
05 Jul
Swinoujscie
4 : 1
Warta Gorzow
Page 1 of 8

Starogard Gdanski

(Away)
21 Feb
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 1
Cartusia Kartuzy
28 Jan
Unia Swarzedz
2 : 4
Starogard Gdanski
08 Jun
Swinoujscie
2 : 1
Starogard Gdanski
30 May
Starogard Gdanski
1 : 2
Unia Solec Kujawski
25 May
Elana Torun
3 : 0
Starogard Gdanski
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swit Szczecin34274375:1785
2Elana Torun34218556:2171
3Unia Swarzedz34196966:4663
4Zawisza341771073:3858
5Blekitni Stargard341741380:6255
6Notec Czarnkow341551473:6350
7Gedania Gdansk341621658:5650
8Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341551455:6150
9Pogon Szczecin II341541563:6049
10Nowe Skalmierzyce341471356:5049
11Kleczew341461459:6548
12Swinoujscie341441645:6046
13Vineta Wolin341361542:6645
14Cartusia Kartuzy341281460:5144
15Luzino341042048:7134
16Stolem Gniewino34891734:5833
17Unia Solec Kujawski34742340:8025
18Starogard Gdanski34272539:9713
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)