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Swinoujscie vs Unia Swarzedz

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ciolak B.
57' Event
Matuszewski M.
61' Event
Sadowski H.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Swinoujscie and Unia Swarzedz finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Swinoujscie
6%
Draws
90%
Unia Swarzedz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Unia Swarzedz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Unia Swarzedz come out ahead of Swinoujscie on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Unia Swarzedz taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 10%
Unia Swarzedz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swinoujscie Unia Swarzedz
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Unia Swarzedz
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Swinoujscie
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Unia Swarzedz
2:3
Sep 20, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Swinoujscie
4:1
May 18, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Unia Swarzedz vs Swinoujscie
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swinoujscie Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadowski H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dziuba R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Unia Swarzedz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciolak B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matuszewski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swinoujscie 10 / 100
Unia Swarzedz 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swinoujscie Unia Swarzedz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Swinoujscie found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).

Unia Swarzedz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Swinoujscie went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swinoujscie VS Unia Swarzedz
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415