Sport Picks
Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group II 
Match Events
6'
6'
Szkamelski O.
55'
55'
Chrominski D.
69'
69'
Cybulski S.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group II game between Swinoujscie and Victoria Wrzesnia finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swinoujscie.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
8%
35%
57%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Victoria Wrzesnia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Victoria Wrzesnia come out ahead of Swinoujscie on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Victoria Wrzesnia taking it.
- Regular III Liga - Group II form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Swinoujscie have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Swinoujscie Clean Sheet 16%
Victoria Wrzesnia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swinoujscie | Victoria Wrzesnia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia
5:0
Mar 14, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia
2:1
Aug 27, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Victoria Wrzesnia vs Swinoujscie
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swinoujscie Compare
Top Goalscorer Szkamelski O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chrominski D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Victoria Wrzesnia Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swinoujscie 10 / 100
Victoria Wrzesnia 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swinoujscie Victoria Wrzesnia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Victoria Wrzesnia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.67 goals.
Attacking prowess: Swinoujscie scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Victoria Wrzesnia let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Swinoujscie has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Swinoujscie VS Victoria Wrzesnia
1.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Swinoujscie
(Home) 09 Oct
Elana Torun
1 : 0 Swinoujscie
03 Oct
Notec Czarnkow
3 : 0 Swinoujscie
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
19 Sept
Grom Nowy Staw
5 : 0 Swinoujscie
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Swinoujscie
0 : 2 Unia Swarzedz
12 Sept
Swinoujscie
1 : 1 Gedania Gdansk
29 Aug
Swinoujscie
1 : 5 Blekitni Stargard
19 Aug
Swinoujscie
5 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
08 Aug
Swinoujscie
2 : 0 Kotwica Kornik
Page 1 of 4
Victoria Wrzesnia
(Away) 10 Oct
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 0 Grom Nowy Staw
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
26 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
1 : 1 Lipno Steszew
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
12 Sept
Victoria Wrzesnia
2 : 2 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Gedania Gdansk
0 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
19 Sept
Blekitni Stargard
1 : 1 Victoria Wrzesnia
29 Aug
Baltyk Koszalin
2 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
19 Aug
Swinoujscie
5 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
07 Aug
Polonia Sroda Wielkopol
1 : 0 Victoria Wrzesnia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Polonia Sroda Wielkopol | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 35:16 | 30 |
| 2 | Luzino | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 34:13 | 28 |
| 3 | Kluczevia Stargard | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 4 | Blekitni Stargard | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 30:23 | 18 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 6 | Wda Swiecie | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Notec Czarnkow | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 19:16 | 17 |
| 8 | KKS Kalisz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Baltyk Koszalin | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Unia Swarzedz | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 21:20 | 14 |
| 11 | Gedania Gdansk | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 26:26 | 14 |
| 12 | Swinoujscie | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Grom Nowy Staw | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 28:29 | 13 |
| 14 | Elana Torun | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 15 | Chemik Bydgoszcz | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 19:24 | 12 |
| 16 | Victoria Wrzesnia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 17 | Kotwica Kornik | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 19:33 | 11 |
| 18 | Lipno Steszew | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 15:26 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)
