Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swit Mazowiecki vs Legia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Mikanovich E.

AI Match Summary

Legia II in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Swit Mazowiecki
39%
Draws
30%
Legia II
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legia II lately — more wins on the board than Swit Mazowiecki.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Legia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki Legia II
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 9 24
Draws 4 2
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Legia II
0:1
Aug 16, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:1
May 4, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Legia II vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:1
Oct 5, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Legia II
1:0
Apr 7, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Legia II
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Legia II Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikanovich E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 31 / 100
Legia II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki Legia II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Legia II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 43% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Swit Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Legia II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315